23 Jan
In The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver looked at several different fields of prediction to illustrate both the power and the limits of trying to peer into the future. Some fields, like meteorology, have progressed to the point where you can know with reasonable accuracy what the weather in your town will be like [...]
Posted in Where Do We Go From Here? by: Alex Remington (Another Alex R.)
225 Comments
23 Jan
So… if travel doesn’t seem to do much, what about teams? Once we go to teams, we can no longer just look at home and road winning percentages, since those will depend greatly on how good the team was. Instead, we now switch to home-road splits: winning percentage at home minus winning percentage on the [...]
Posted in How Big Is Home Field Advantage?, Stats, etc. by: Alex Remington (Another Alex R.)
42 Comments